Restarting America After the Coronavirus Shutdown: Sooner is Better

This outline is based on there being three tiers of coronavirus: no treatment, protective treatment, necessary treatment.

(All of this is assuming that some combination of anti-malarial and antibiotics (or something else) provides a near-term successful treatment.)

Coronavirus (Covid-19) is a generally mild but sometimes lethal illness. Many believe that compared to the numbers of people tested positive, there have been gigantic numbers of people exposed and/or with very mild or no symptoms. The illness itself is divided into Phase One (symptomless), Phase Two (mild symptoms), Phase Three (serious symptoms), and Phase Four (very serious, potentially lethal).

This suggests three tiers of personal treatment. Not triage, a desperate method which sacrifices some to save most, but tiers or treatment that save almost everyone. The three tiers are: no treatment, protective treatment, and necessary treatment.

No treatment: this includes almost the entire population. Young, healthy people generally are fine. Elderly and people over 60 can, but usually do not, advance to Phase Four. This includes Phase One and Phase Two (since it is very hard to tell if Phase Two is corona without testing).

Protective treatment: This includes medical and emergency workers, police, fire, and critical infrastructure people as needed. There are actually rather a lot of essential workers in our vast, complex society. (Unlike Washington State’s list of essental workers, this probably should not include marijuana shop workers. For the gigantic list of essential workers in washongton State, see: None of these exposed front line people should ever be allowed to advance to Phase Three. Not one.

Necessary treatment: Intensive treatment for people advancing to Phase Three and Phase Four. It may be that no one will advance to Phase Four once widespread testing and treatment is available.

This also suggests three tiers of geographic treatment. Note that the Trump Administration policy of allowing State governments tom determine their own status is very wise. In the characterization of an old folk story, some states are, in a sense, grasshoppers, and other state are ants. (There may need to be some federal process of approval of change of status after the initial State-level status determinations.)

No treatment: These are states (or counties or cities) with “very low” (pre-treatment) death rates). These areas can start to open up sooner rather than later. (Easter?)

Protective treatment: These are states (or counties or cities) with modest levels of (pre-treatment) death rates). These areas can start to open up as their death rates decline to “very low” levels.

Necessary treatment: These are states (or counties or cities) with “high” death rates. This includes areas that had nursing home clusters (like King County, Washington) and/or “Welcoming” jurisdictions. (Recall that Gov. Cuomo celebrated the high infection and death rate in New York as a sign that the city and state was “Welcoming” [Sanctuary] (that is Open Borders for disease, illegal migrants and crime). It is not a coincidence map of sanctuary cities is a map of high Coronavirus death rates. It is also a map high rates of homelessness.)) The New York City infection and death rate was also driven by the City’s “defiance” of coronavirus by advocating and creating a crowd of more than one million people in vast crowds celebrating Lunar New Year in New York’s Chinatown. See, for example, (The City of Seattle had the same approach.)) These areas have dysfunctional social and health policies and may lag behind the rest of the country, but State/local decision makers will play a key role in deciding when to restart. And States can even opt out of treatment all together, just as Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak who has simply banned the used of antimalarial drugs in his state.